Tennis betting is definitely one of the most exciting ways to watch this sport and, if gambling is one of your hobbies, this sport can help you win some money, too. Unlike team sports, tennis is more clear-cut. You don’t have to keep an eye on a dozen players and their evolution (as it is the case with football, basketball etc), but only focus on two players. However, it’s not that simple. You need a solid strategy, experience in the game, and a reliable betting platform, like Bet Winner sportsbook. Here are a few proven tips to help you increase your chances at betting on tennis.
Is betting on tennis profitable?
Tennis is excellent for wagering, since it has a lot of tournaments all year round and you get a lot of options. There are ATP and WTA Tours running throughout the year, and, of course, the four Grand Slams which draw millions of fans and bettors: Wimbledon, the US Open, the French Open, and the Australian Open. There are more reliable results in these tournaments, because top players often give consistent performances.
Because a match can oscillate back and forth, in-play betting is a major advantage in wagering on this elegant sport. There are many opportunities to spot good odds and make bets at the right time. Also, because this is not a sport where there are draws like football, you only have two possible results—one player wins, and the other loses—so your opportunities to make good predictions are slightly better.
Key Strategies to improve your chances of success
While luck is always involved in any kind of gambling, being equipped with a good strategy can give you more chances of success and help you reduce your risks. Below are some tried and tested strategies to apply:
1. The Kelly Criterion
The Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula used by most professional gamblers to determine the ideal stake size. Instead of wagering a fixed amount each time, you calculate your stake based on the expected value of the odds. If the odds are in your favor, you bet more, and if they are against you, you bet less or nothing.
Let’s say you want to bet on a tennis match between Player A and Player B. Based on research, you believe Player A has a 60% chance of winning (0.60 probability).
The bookmaker, however, offers odds of 2.20 on Player A.
Kelly’s formula:f∗=[(b⋅p)−(1−p)] / b
Where:
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f* = Fraction of your bankroll to bet
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b = Bookmaker’s odds minus 1
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p = What you believe the probability of winning is (expressed as a decimal)
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q = Probability of losing (1 – p)
Let’s apply the formula to our example:
- p=0.60(your estimated probability of Player A winning)
- Odds offered = 2.20, so b=2.20−1=1.20
- 1−p=1−0.60=0.40
f∗= [(1.20×0.60)−(0.40)]/1.20
f* = 0.32/1.20 = 0.26
If you multiply the result by 100, you get the percent of your bankroll that you should allocate for this bet, which is 26%
2. Avoid the Gambler’s Fallacy
Most new punters fall prey to the gambler’s fallacy—the misconception that recent performances influence future results. For example, just because a player has won five games in a row doesn’t mean that he is “due” for a loss. Instead of placing emotional bets based on recent runs, always check a player’s form, playing style, and match conditions before betting.
3. Consider the court surfaces
Tennis stands out in the sense that the surface that is played on (grass, clay, hardcourt) can significantly influence the outcome of a match. There are players who are very good on one surface but poor on another. For example:
Rafael Nadal excels on clay because of his spin and ability to produce long rallies.
Roger Federer has historically performed well on grass courts where his aggressive net play is most effective.
Hard courts are typically most suitable for big servers like Novak Djokovic.
Always consider the player’s past performance on the surface in question prior to betting in order to maximize your chances of making a correct prediction.
4. Don’t overlook players’ recent injuries
This sport is physically strenuous, and the players are used to playing consecutive tournaments. A player may not perform well in his next game if he has just won a five-set game due to fatigue. Consider recent match duration, travel, and injuries that have been reported to have an advantage when making bets.
5. In-Play Betting – Take advantage of the latest changes on the court
Live tennis betting is highly rewarding because of the abrupt shift in the pace of the game. When a player loses a set but has been famous for comebacks in the past, their odds rise, giving you a great opportunity to bet at greater value. Watching the game very closely and strategically placing bets at the critical times will ensure maximum returns.
Use Betwinner to make the most of your wager
Betwinner is one of the top websites to place tennis bets as it offers many betting markets, good odds, and live betting. Find out how Betwinner can make you more successful:
In-depth markets: Bet on the match winners, set score, total games, and even match points. This allows for better bet planning.
Live streaming & In-Play betting: Watch the matches live and modify your bets based on the game’s momentum.
High odds & special promotions: Betwinner consistently gives you some of the best available odds in the market, thus you get maximum value from your bets.
Cash out: If your bet is looking risky, you can cash out early to minimize losses.
Mobile wagering: The Betwinner mobile app allows you to bet on tennis at any moment, anywhere, so you will never miss a good bet.
So how can you get better chances of success in wagering on tennis?
This sport is thrilling and profitable when done with the correct methods. Knowing the essentials strategies, preventing common pitfalls, and utilizing a trusted bookmaker such as Betwinner can put you in a better position. Whether you’re examining court surfaces, utilizing the Kelly Criterion, or availing yourself of live betting, there is always room for improvement for your betting success.
